Primera RFEF Grupo 1 Jor. 13

CE Sabadell vs CD Lugo analysis

CE Sabadell CD Lugo
53 ELO 60
-11.6% Tilt -4.3%
2805º General ELO ranking 2173º
79º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
29.3%
CE Sabadell
28.4%
Draw
42.3%
CD Lugo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
CE Sabadell
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42.3%
Win probability
CD Lugo
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CE Sabadell
-2%
-7%
CD Lugo

Points and table prediction

CE Sabadell
Their league position
CD Lugo
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
12º
20º
16º
50
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RC Deportivo
78
78
100%
Barça Atlètic
70
70
0%
Gimnàstic Tarragona
70
70
0%
Celta Fortuna
65
65
100%
Ponferradina
64
64
100%
Cultural Leonesa
60
60
100%
Unionistas CF
58
58
100%
Arenteiro
52
52
100%
Real Sociedad B
51
51
100%
CD Lugo
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Osasuna Promesas
12º
45
45
11º
0%
Sestao River
11º
45
45
12º
0%
SD Tarazona
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Fuenlabrada
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Real Unión Club
15º
43
43
15º
100%
CE Sabadell
16º
42
42
16º
100%
CD Teruel
17º
38
38
17º
100%
UE Cornellà
18º
35
35
18º
100%
SD Logroñés
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Rayo Majadahonda
20º
27
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
CE Sabadell
CD Lugo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

CE Sabadell
CD Lugo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CE Sabadell
CE Sabadell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
FCB
Barça Atlètic
4 - 1
CE Sabadell
SAB
63%
21%
16%
55 62 7 0
05 Nov. 2023
SAB
CE Sabadell
1 - 2
Real Sociedad B
RSO
26%
28%
47%
55 62 7 0
28 Oct. 2023
CEL
Celta Fortuna
4 - 2
CE Sabadell
SAB
65%
21%
15%
56 63 7 -1
21 Oct. 2023
SAB
CE Sabadell
0 - 1
RC Deportivo
DEP
22%
27%
51%
56 67 11 0
14 Oct. 2023
MAJ
Rayo Majadahonda
3 - 1
CE Sabadell
SAB
38%
27%
36%
57 53 4 -1

Matches

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
LUG
CD Lugo
0 - 3
Cultural Leonesa
CUL
41%
28%
31%
61 58 3 0
05 Nov. 2023
UNI
Unionistas CF
1 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
38%
28%
34%
61 59 2 0
01 Nov. 2023
ANT
Atlético Antoniano
0 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
10%
18%
72%
60 38 22 +1
29 Oct. 2023
LUG
CD Lugo
2 - 0
Real Unión Club
RUN
47%
28%
24%
59 56 3 +1
22 Oct. 2023
MAJ
Rayo Majadahonda
1 - 2
CD Lugo
LUG
35%
28%
38%
59 54 5 0
X