3. Liga . Jor. 7

1. FC Saarbrücken vs VfL Osnabrück analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken VfL Osnabrück
64 ELO 59
7.5% Tilt 10.6%
538º General ELO ranking 1286º
31º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
59.6%
1. FC Saarbrücken
22.3%
Draw
18.1%
VfL Osnabrück

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
VfL Osnabrück
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-3%
-3%
VfL Osnabrück

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
VfL Osnabrück
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2011
STU
Stuttgart II
1 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
38%
26%
36%
64 61 3 0
16 Aug. 2011
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 0
Werder Bremen II
WER
72%
18%
10%
64 52 12 0
13 Aug. 2011
BAB
SV Babelsberg 03
1 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
34%
27%
39%
63 59 4 +1
05 Aug. 2011
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
57%
23%
21%
63 58 5 0
02 Aug. 2011
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
0 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
28%
26%
46%
63 55 8 0

Matches

VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2011
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
64%
21%
15%
59 53 6 0
16 Aug. 2011
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 0
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
54%
25%
22%
59 63 4 0
13 Aug. 2011
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 1
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
52%
25%
24%
60 60 0 -1
06 Aug. 2011
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
2 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
55%
23%
21%
60 64 4 0
02 Aug. 2011
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
54%
24%
22%
60 58 2 0
X