1. FC Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
SAA
1 - 12
SAA
64%
17%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SAA
4 - 0
WWO
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
TUN
3 - 2
SAA
55%
20%
25%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1958 |
SAA
0 - 4
VFR
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1958 |
KAI
6 - 2
SAA
84%
10%
7%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
M05
1 - 0
FVS
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
EBK
1 - 1
M05
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
M05
1 - 3
KAI
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1958 |
EIN
4 - 2
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1958 |
M05
3 - 0
TUL
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |