3. Liga Round 37

1. FC Saarbrücken vs Heidenheim analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Heidenheim
60 ELO 70
15.6% Tilt 11.5%
398º General ELO ranking 128º
35º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
32.4%
1. FC Saarbrücken
25.1%
Draw
42.6%
Heidenheim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.6%
Win probability
Heidenheim
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-13%
+5%
Heidenheim

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Heidenheim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2013
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
47%
25%
28%
62 63 1 0
27 Apr. 2013
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 1
Hansa Rostock
ROS
61%
21%
18%
62 57 5 0
20 Apr. 2013
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
33%
27%
40%
61 57 4 +1
13 Apr. 2013
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
44%
25%
31%
60 64 4 +1
06 Apr. 2013
PRE
Preußen Münster
3 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
59%
23%
18%
60 69 9 0

Matches

Heidenheim
Heidenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
HEI
Heidenheim
2 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
67%
19%
14%
70 57 13 0
27 Apr. 2013
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
1 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
23%
24%
53%
70 55 15 0
20 Apr. 2013
HEI
Heidenheim
3 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
45%
26%
29%
68 70 2 +2
16 Apr. 2013
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
20%
25%
55%
69 58 11 -1
13 Apr. 2013
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
2 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
43%
26%
31%
69 68 1 0