Regionalliga Western Round 8

1. FC Saarbrücken vs VfL Bochum II analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken VfL Bochum II
51 ELO 48
10.8% Tilt 14.3%
398º General ELO ranking 3400º
34º Country ELO ranking 152º
ELO win probability
56%
1. FC Saarbrücken
21.7%
Draw
22.2%
VfL Bochum II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.2%
Win probability
VfL Bochum II
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-15%
+19%
VfL Bochum II

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
VfL Bochum II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2009
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
0 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
44%
25%
31%
49 51 2 0
05 Sep. 2009
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach II
BOR
54%
22%
23%
48 47 1 +1
02 Sep. 2009
SPO
Sportfreunde Lotte
3 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
47%
24%
29%
49 50 1 -1
29 Aug. 2009
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 0
Preußen Münster
PRE
51%
24%
25%
48 51 3 +1
23 Aug. 2009
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
60%
22%
18%
47 56 9 +1

Matches

VfL Bochum II
VfL Bochum II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2009
BOC
VfL Bochum II
2 - 1
Schalke 04 II
S04
53%
23%
24%
48 44 4 0
05 Sep. 2009
KAI
Kaiserslautern II
0 - 0
VfL Bochum II
BOC
48%
25%
28%
47 51 4 +1
02 Sep. 2009
BOC
VfL Bochum II
0 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
35%
25%
40%
47 53 6 0
29 Aug. 2009
BOC
VfL Bochum II
3 - 1
B. Leverkusen II
BAY
42%
25%
34%
46 48 2 +1
22 Aug. 2009
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
1 - 1
VfL Bochum II
BOC
55%
24%
22%
46 52 6 0