SA Mérignac U19 vs Nantes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
80.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
12º
11º
52
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NIO
5 - 1
SAM
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
5 - 1
LVF
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
SAM
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 4
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
5 - 0
SAM
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 2
LAV
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VER
0 - 2
NAN
7%
13%
81%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAN
3 - 1
LMA
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NAN
3 - 2
MON
34%
24%
43%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 0
STA
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |