SA Mérignac U19 vs Bergerac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+461%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
11º
13
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 0
SAM
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
5 - 2
SRS
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
SAM
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
SCB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 2
SAM
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
LOR
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BER
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
BER
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
AVR
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
BER
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |