Sūduva vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
9º
7º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
SUD
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 0
DTE
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
ZAL
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
PAN
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
FAS
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
DAI
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
FAS
21%
22%
58%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 1
FAS
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
KZA
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |