Q. Europa League Play-off. Final
Global 1-4
Sūduva vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 0
FKS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 1
SUD
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 2
CRV
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CRV
3 - 0
SUD
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 3
CEL
10%
16%
73%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 0
CEL
26%
24%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 1
AEK
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 1
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |