Daring Brussels vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
1º
14
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daring Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RWD
0 - 2
BRG
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
KRC
2 - 0
RWD
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WAA
1 - 1
RWD
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RWD
5 - 0
LOM
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 3
KVK
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOM
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KSK
2 - 2
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
STL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEE
3 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEI
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |