Ruthin Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruthin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
RTW
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
RTW
1 - 2
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 2
RTW
6%
11%
83%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 0
RTW
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RTW
4 - 1
RHY
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
5 - 3
CAE
91%
7%
3%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
CAE
20%
20%
60%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
3 - 0
AIR
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
72%
16%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
QPA
0 - 8
CAE
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | +1 |