Non League Div One Northern Midlands Round 23

Rushden & Diamonds vs Gresley analysis

Rushden & Diamonds Gresley
19 ELO 26
-3.6% Tilt -7.5%
18353º General ELO ranking 20220º
603º Country ELO ranking 719º
ELO win probability
30.9%
Rushden & Diamonds
22.8%
Draw
46.2%
Gresley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
Rushden & Diamonds
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.2%
Win probability
Gresley
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rushden & Diamonds
+69%
+7%
Gresley

Points and table prediction

Rushden & Diamonds
Their league position
Gresley
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
13º
20º
19º
29
13º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harborough Town
91
91
100%
Spalding United
89
89
100%
Anstey Nomads
88
88
100%
Hinckley LR
70
70
100%
Quorn
66
66
100%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
62
62
100%
Lye Town
61
61
100%
Corby Town
56
56
100%
Bedworth United
51
51
0%
Sutton Coldfield Town
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Walsall Wood
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Sporting Khalsa
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Boldmere St. Michaels
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Shepshed
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Coleshill Town FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Coventry Sphinx
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Cambridge City
17º
32
32
17º
0%
Rugby Town
18º
32
32
18º
0%
Rushden & Diamonds
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Gresley
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rushden & Diamonds
Gresley
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Rushden & Diamonds
Gresley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rushden & Diamonds
Rushden & Diamonds
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2024
COR
Corby Town
3 - 2
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
83%
12%
6%
21 36 15 0
26 Dec. 2023
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
0 - 4
Harborough Town
HAR
7%
17%
76%
22 48 26 -1
23 Dec. 2023
SPO
Sporting Khalsa
4 - 1
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
85%
11%
5%
23 39 16 -1
16 Dec. 2023
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
0 - 3
Spalding United
SPA
12%
19%
69%
24 47 23 -1
09 Dec. 2023
LYE
Lye Town
2 - 1
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
80%
15%
6%
25 48 23 -1

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2024
GRE
Gresley
0 - 6
Anstey Nomads
ANN
10%
19%
71%
27 48 21 0
26 Dec. 2023
RUG
Rugby Town
2 - 0
Gresley
GRE
52%
21%
26%
28 30 2 -1
23 Dec. 2023
GRE
Gresley
0 - 1
Cambridge City
CAM
56%
22%
22%
29 27 2 -1
16 Dec. 2023
COV
Coventry Sphinx
1 - 1
Gresley
GRE
59%
21%
20%
29 36 7 0
12 Dec. 2023
GRE
Gresley
0 - 0
Hinckley LR
LER
23%
22%
55%
29 41 12 0