Rupe Sahagun vs UD Arroyofresno B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+164%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rupe Sahagun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MAL
1 - 9
RUP
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
RUP
3 - 3
IDP
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 4
RUP
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CMM
4 - 3
RUP
57%
19%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RUP
2 - 1
AUA
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Arroyofresno B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ARF
1 - 3
ATL
14%
16%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CEL
4 - 5
ARF
89%
8%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARF
1 - 4
FOM
11%
14%
74%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARF
1 - 4
LCM
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IUA
8 - 2
ARF
85%
9%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |