Runcorn Linnets vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
WYT
3 - 1
RUN
33%
24%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RUN
2 - 2
WYT
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
187
0 - 5
RUN
7%
15%
78%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RUN
3 - 2
WID
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 0
RUN
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
5 - 0
PON
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
RAF
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
7 - 0
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 7
PON
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 2
PON
48%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |