Runcorn Linnets vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
WYT
3 - 1
RUN
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RUN
2 - 2
WYT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
187
0 - 5
RUN
7%
15%
79%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RUN
3 - 2
WID
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 0
RUN
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
5 - 0
PON
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
RAF
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
7 - 0
PON
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 7
PON
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 2
PON
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |