Runcorn Linnets vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WOR
2 - 4
RUN
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
4 - 0
RAM
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TAD
1 - 5
RUN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 3
GAT
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KID
1 - 3
MOS
30%
23%
48%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 0
CLI
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MOS
3 - 1
OUF
64%
22%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 3
RYL
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MOS
3 - 2
LEE
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |