Rugenbergen vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WTS
1 - 1
RUG
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
RUG
1 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 4
RUG
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RUG
0 - 2
CUR
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
NIE
0 - 2
RUG
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
STP
6 - 1
BUC
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BER
2 - 2
STP
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
STP
1 - 0
MEI
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CON
0 - 2
STP
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
STP
3 - 0
GER
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |