Rugby Town vs Shaw Lane Aquaforce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 1
RUG
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
RUG
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
COA
5 - 4
RUG
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RUG
2 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
RUG
3 - 1
DAV
84%
12%
4%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Shaw Lane Aquaforce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
3 - 2
TIV
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
2 - 2
KID
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
3 - 3
GOO
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
1 - 0
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
COA
3 - 2
SLA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |