Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 10-0
Rudar Velenje vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RUD
1 - 1
HKS
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SKA
2 - 1
RUD
10%
16%
74%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
BLE
2 - 2
RUD
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 19 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
RUD
0 - 1
TRI
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
ALU
1 - 3
RUD
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
TFI
42%
24%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
TFI
3 - 0
BAL
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
TFI
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
TFI
0 - 1
DOM
46%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -4 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 0
TFI
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |