Royal Pari vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
REA
6 - 0
ROY
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 2
BOL
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
BLO
2 - 3
ROY
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
ROY
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 1
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
BOL
6 - 3
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 4
BLO
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AUR
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |