FC Rouen 1899 vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
FCR
2 - 1
AMI
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
BRC
3 - 0
FCR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SED
0 - 0
FCR
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FCR
0 - 1
LOR
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 1
BRC
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
AMI
0 - 3
CAE
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
SED
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 2
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |