Rothes vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
5 - 0
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ROT
0 - 4
BUC
11%
14%
76%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DEV
2 - 2
ROT
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 1
ROT
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROT
9 - 1
FOR
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LOS
3 - 2
KEI
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WIC
2 - 0
KEI
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
KEI
0 - 3
CLA
34%
22%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BUC
4 - 1
KEI
88%
9%
4%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
5 - 0
KEI
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |