Rothes vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
77.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ROT
2 - 2
HUN
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CLA
2 - 1
ROT
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
KEI
2 - 1
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
BUC
3 - 0
ROT
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DEV
5 - 0
ROT
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
STR
0 - 7
FRA
6%
14%
79%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
WIC
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DEV
1 - 2
FRA
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
BRO
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LOS
1 - 2
FRA
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |