Rothes vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
78.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
11 - 0
ROT
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 4
KEI
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 4
FOR
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 2
BRO
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 57 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 4
ROT
82%
11%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
LOS
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 2
FRA
18%
21%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 3
FRA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
INV
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
FRA
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |