Rothes vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NAI
3 - 0
ROT
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STR
0 - 1
ROT
11%
15%
73%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 1
ROT
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 2
CLA
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NAI
4 - 4
FOR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
COV
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 5
WIC
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOS
0 - 4
FOR
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
LOS
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |