Rothes vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
82.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DEV
3 - 0
ROT
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
INV
6 - 0
ROT
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 8
FOR
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NAI
2 - 1
ROT
90%
7%
2%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
INV
4 - 0
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
COV
3 - 1
FOR
83%
11%
5%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
FOR
14%
17%
69%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 5
FOR
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |