Highland Football League Scotland Round 12

Rothes vs Deveronvale analysis

Rothes Deveronvale
33 ELO 20
1.1% Tilt 6.6%
12639º General ELO ranking 9256º
93º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
76.5%
Rothes
14.1%
Draw
9.4%
Deveronvale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
Rothes
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.4%
Win probability
Deveronvale
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rothes
-34%
-5%
Deveronvale

Points and table prediction

Rothes
Their league position
Deveronvale
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
16º
11º
25
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
81
81
0%
Brechin City
81
81
0%
Fraserburgh
78
78
100%
Banks O' Dee
72
72
100%
Formartine United
72
72
100%
Brora Rangers
59
59
100%
Huntly
54
54
100%
Nairn County
53
53
100%
Turriff United
48
48
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Rothes
11º
37
37
11º
100%
Wick Academy
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Keith
13º
33
33
13º
100%
Forres Mechanics
14º
30
30
14º
100%
Lossiemouth
15º
29
29
15º
100%
Deveronvale
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Clachnacuddin
17º
23
23
17º
100%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rothes
Deveronvale
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rothes
Deveronvale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rothes
Rothes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
ROT
Rothes
0 - 3
Fraserburgh
FRA
13%
17%
70%
34 47 13 0
11 Nov. 2023
TUR
Turriff United
3 - 1
Rothes
ROT
41%
21%
37%
36 31 5 -2
04 Nov. 2023
CLA
Clachnacuddin
0 - 1
Rothes
ROT
19%
19%
63%
35 22 13 +1
11 Oct. 2023
STR
Strathspey Thistle
2 - 4
Rothes
ROT
7%
13%
81%
35 11 24 0
04 Oct. 2023
ROT
Rothes
1 - 3
Buckie Thistle
BUC
7%
14%
79%
35 54 19 0

Matches

Deveronvale
Deveronvale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
DEV
Deveronvale
3 - 1
Lossiemouth
LOS
50%
21%
29%
19 19 0 0
11 Nov. 2023
STR
Strathspey Thistle
5 - 2
Deveronvale
DEV
9%
14%
78%
20 10 10 -1
04 Nov. 2023
DEV
Deveronvale
0 - 4
Brechin City
BRE
6%
16%
78%
20 54 34 0
28 Oct. 2023
DEV
Deveronvale
0 - 1
Broxburn Athletic
BRX
18%
18%
64%
21 39 18 -1
07 Oct. 2023
DEV
Deveronvale
1 - 3
Nairn County
NAI
22%
20%
58%
22 31 9 -1