League One Round 1

Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis

Rotherham United Plymouth Argyle
65 ELO 56
8.6% Tilt 2%
2374º General ELO ranking 1442º
63º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Rotherham United
21%
Draw
15.1%
Plymouth Argyle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Rotherham United
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rotherham United
-6%
-2%
Plymouth Argyle

ELO progression

Rotherham United
Plymouth Argyle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rotherham United
Rotherham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2021
ROT
Rotherham United
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
40%
25%
36%
65 70 5 0
27 Jul. 2021
ROT
Rotherham United
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
21%
23%
56%
65 82 17 0
24 Jul. 2021
GRI
Grimsby Town
0 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
11%
18%
71%
65 49 16 0
21 Jul. 2021
TOW
Harrogate Town
1 - 3
Rotherham United
ROT
20%
22%
58%
65 54 11 0
20 Jul. 2021
ROC
Rochdale
2 - 2
Rotherham United
ROT
27%
23%
50%
65 57 8 0

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2021
GUL
Torquay United
0 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
47%
23%
29%
57 57 0 0
27 Jul. 2021
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
25%
22%
53%
57 65 8 0
24 Jul. 2021
TAV
Tavistock
0 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
11%
15%
74%
57 30 27 0
23 Jul. 2021
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
23%
23%
54%
57 70 13 0
20 Jul. 2021
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 2
Swansea City
SWA
16%
21%
63%
57 77 20 0