Rot-Weiss Essen vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PRE
0 - 3
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SGD
1 - 1
ROT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
ROT
3 - 1
BAB
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
ROT
5 - 3
WER
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
DIE
0 - 2
WAT
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
WAT
0 - 0
PRE
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 0
WAT
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
WAT
3 - 1
SGD
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
WAT
3 - 1
BAB
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |