Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MON
2 - 2
ROT
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ROT
2 - 1
AAA
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
KOL
6 - 1
ROT
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ROT
1 - 0
TSV
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ROT
1 - 1
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
KOL
3 - 0
MSV
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
MSV
1 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SVS
0 - 0
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MSV
0 - 0
AAA
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
MSV
2 - 0
BOC
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |