Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
1 - 2
ROT
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 0
WIE
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
S04
0 - 0
ROT
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 1
KRA
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 0
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 3
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
MSV
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MSV
3 - 3
WUP
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 0
BOR
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |