Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
DUI
2 - 0
ROT
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ROT
0 - 2
SVS
80%
13%
8%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
S04
2 - 2
ROT
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ROT
1 - 0
WUP
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
66%
18%
16%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
S04
4 - 0
AAA
73%
16%
12%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
HAM
1 - 0
AAA
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
AAA
2 - 1
DUI
80%
12%
7%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
BOC
1 - 1
AAA
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
AAA
4 - 1
BVB
61%
20%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |