Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
ROT
2 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
9%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
AAA
7 - 3
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1979 |
ROT
5 - 0
WAT
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1979 |
ROT
0 - 0
KÖL
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
ROT
1 - 1
USO
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
KOL
5 - 1
M05
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
BVB
3 - 1
KOL
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
MUN
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
KOL
3 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
STU
1 - 4
KOL
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |