Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2003 |
FCU
1 - 1
RWA
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
RWA
1 - 2
EBT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
LUB
4 - 1
RWA
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RWA
2 - 1
EIN
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
RWA
1 - 1
EIN
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2003 |
M05
3 - 2
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AAA
3 - 0
M05
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
M05
3 - 1
MSV
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
KSC
0 - 0
M05
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
M05
2 - 0
WAC
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |