Rot-Weiß Oberhausen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
17º
12º
2
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
8 | 63 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 58 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 56 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 51 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
2 | 48 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 42 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 39 |
16º
|
6% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 38 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 34 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 82.5% |
|
Possible relegation
|
6.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROT
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ROT
3 - 1
BSC
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROT
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ROT
0 - 2
GUT
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BWL
2 - 1
ROT
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 2
BOR
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
BOC
2 - 2
VEL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 3
WUP
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
VEL
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 3
F95
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |