Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Heidenauer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
ROT
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
ROT
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 1
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
ROT
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
HAL
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenauer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ERZ
3 - 3
HEI
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 1
FCH
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 2
HEI
83%
13%
5%
|
19 | 65 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HEI
4 - 0
WAG
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |