Denmark Third Division Round 1

Roskilde vs Næstved analysis

Roskilde Næstved
53 ELO 54
3.6% Tilt 25.3%
2541º General ELO ranking 3276º
29º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Roskilde
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Næstved

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Roskilde
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.5%
Win probability
Næstved
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roskilde
+11%
-22%
Næstved

ELO progression

Roskilde
Næstved
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roskilde
Roskilde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2020
ROS
Roskilde
0 - 1
Hillerød
HIL
61%
21%
18%
54 48 6 0
20 Sep. 2020
AVA
Avarta
2 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
13%
18%
68%
54 42 12 0
11 Sep. 2020
ROS
Roskilde
1 - 0
Brønshøj
BRØ
69%
18%
13%
54 45 9 0
05 Sep. 2020
VAN
Vanløse
1 - 0
Roskilde
ROS
21%
23%
56%
56 49 7 -2
01 Sep. 2020
FRE
Frem Sakskøbing
1 - 6
Roskilde
ROS
8%
13%
79%
57 25 32 -1

Matches

Næstved
Næstved
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2020
NAE
Næstved
3 - 0
KFUM Roskilde
KFU
67%
21%
13%
53 40 13 0
18 Sep. 2020
NAE
Næstved
2 - 0
Hellerup IK
HEL
42%
26%
32%
53 51 2 0
13 Sep. 2020
AKA
Akademisk Boldklub
0 - 0
Næstved
NAE
45%
25%
30%
53 53 0 0
04 Sep. 2020
NAE
Næstved
2 - 0
Hillerød
HIL
46%
26%
28%
53 50 3 0
01 Sep. 2020
FRE
Frederikssund IK
1 - 4
Næstved
NAE
10%
16%
74%
54 24 30 -1