1st Division Round 1

Roskilde vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Roskilde AGF Aarhus
52 ELO 72
3.8% Tilt 9.7%
2591º General ELO ranking 307º
29º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.1%
Roskilde
25.2%
Draw
55.7%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
Roskilde
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.7%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roskilde
+13%
-11%
AGF Aarhus

ELO progression

Roskilde
AGF Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roskilde
Roskilde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2010
VEN
Vendsyssel
2 - 1
Roskilde
ROS
49%
25%
26%
53 57 4 0
11 Aug. 2010
SKJ
Skjold Birkerød
3 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
27%
23%
50%
54 42 12 -1
08 Aug. 2010
VES
Vestsjælland
3 - 1
Roskilde
ROS
64%
21%
15%
55 63 8 -1
20 Jun. 2010
ROS
Roskilde
1 - 3
Skive
SKI
42%
26%
33%
56 58 2 -1
13 Jun. 2010
HVI
Hvidovre IF
0 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
45%
26%
29%
54 55 1 +2

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2010
AGF
AGF Aarhus
3 - 1
Brønshøj
BRØ
74%
17%
9%
71 55 16 0
12 Aug. 2010
HOL
Holstebro
1 - 4
AGF Aarhus
AGF
19%
23%
59%
71 46 25 0
08 Aug. 2010
VEJ
Vejle BK
0 - 0
AGF Aarhus
AGF
34%
27%
40%
71 61 10 0
16 May. 2010
AGF
AGF Aarhus
0 - 3
Odense BK
OBK
25%
26%
49%
72 83 11 -1
09 May. 2010
FCN
Nordsjaelland
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
61%
22%
17%
71 78 7 +1