Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 1
ROS
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ROS
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
KAL
0 - 2
ROS
41%
24%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ROS
1 - 0
HOL
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
4 - 0
ROS
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AAF
2 - 2
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 3
AAF
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
AAF
2 - 1
KAL
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAF
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AAF
0 - 2
KOL
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |