Rosarno vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 2
ASR
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASR
1 - 1
NIS
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 2
ASR
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASR
0 - 0
PUT
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
USC
0 - 2
ASR
27%
24%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCC
2 - 2
ACP
46%
25%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
78%
16%
7%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACA
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
FCC
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FCC
3 - 2
VIC
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |