Roncalli vs Marnate Nizzolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roncalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 2
RON
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RON
1 - 0
UNI
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RHO
3 - 4
RON
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
RON
3 - 3
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RON
2 - 0
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marnate Nizzolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
UNI
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
GAV
17%
21%
63%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UBO
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |