Romulus vs Rainworth Miners Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
ROM
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 0
RUS
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 2
NEW
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 1
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rainworth Miners Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 3
RAI
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
RAI
0 - 1
GOO
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
RAI
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 2
SUT
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RAI
3 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |