Romulus vs Market Drayton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HUC
2 - 0
ROM
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 0
LOU
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
4 - 0
ROM
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
SUT
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Market Drayton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
COA
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
LIN
40%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 4
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |