FA Trophy 1/512
Global 1-2
Romulus vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 3
ROM
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SHE
0 - 4
ROM
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEE
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KID
4 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
RUG
0 - 2
ROM
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
LEE
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KID
3 - 1
GRE
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
SLA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
GRE
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |