Romulus vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COA
2 - 1
ROM
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
CHA
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 0
ROM
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 3
COA
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
CHA
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
RAI
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |