Romulus vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
BRO
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 2
WAR
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STO
0 - 1
ROM
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WES
1 - 2
YEL
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
LEI
3 - 0
YEL
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
STO
0 - 1
YEL
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
YEL
0 - 3
ATH
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
YEL
4 - 3
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |