Romford vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
ROM
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
NOR
18%
23%
60%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 4
THA
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 3
ROM
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 2
WIN
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 1
THA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
WIN
4 - 1
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
WIN
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 0
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |