Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
9.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
USC
1 - 0
ROM
23%
20%
57%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
ROM
1 - 1
USA
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
ROM
18%
19%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 1
BOL
20%
20%
61%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
TOR
4 - 1
TRI
75%
14%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 1
TRI
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
TRI
2 - 1
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 1
TRI
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |