Roma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
ROM
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 0
ROM
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
BAR
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |