Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 4
ROM
57%
20%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 0
SPE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
CSK
2 - 3
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
53%
24%
24%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAG
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 2
JUV
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
10%
19%
70%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
MFF
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |