Roma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
WOL
1 - 1
ROM
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ROM
0 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
21%
22%
56%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
ROM
4 - 0
IST
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 1
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 1
CAG
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
CAG
3 - 1
GEN
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 3
CAG
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 2
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |